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台风安比冲击超强台风？！台湾东面又出现台风胚胎？
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这是一个危险的系统。可能的风险包括破坏性大风，强降雨，风暴潮，汹涌的大海，泥石流和山洪。 资料由JTWC提供 风速和分类可能与当地气象机构报告的有所不同。 Ampil is located 535 km south-southeast of Yokosuka, Japan, and has tracked northward at 20 km/h (11 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 9.1 meters (30 feet). Ampil is forecast to continue tracking along the western edge of the subtropical ridge to the east over the next 24 hours. In around 24 hours, the system is forecast to begin a turn northeastward about 139 km southeast of Yokosuka as it rounds the subtropical ridge. After 24 hours, Ampil is expected to continue tracking along the northwestern and northern edges of the subtropical ridge through the remainder of the forecast period as it makes its way into the baroclinic zone. Extratropical transition is forecast to start in around 3 days with completion in 4 days. Regarding the intensity forecast, Ampil is forecast to rapidly intensify over the next 24 hours with a peak intensity of 220 km/h (120 knots) in response to the highly conducive environment.After 24 hours, wind shear is expected to increase to around 30–35 km/h (15–20 knots) and sea surface temperatures are expected to quickly drop. This will initiate the weakening trend, which will persist through the remainder of the forecast period. In around 60 hours, sea surface temperatures will drop below 25°C and Ampil will rapidly degrade in response. An intensity of 85 km/h (45 knots) is forecasted as extratropical transition completes near the next 4 days mark. GEFS and ECENS members are very close to the ensemble mean as well. Intensity guidance is in slightly worse agreement. Many rapid intensification (RI) aids continue to trigger and show a peak intensity ranging from 215–230 km/h (115–125 knots). Non-RI aids are slightly split, with HAFS-A and HWRF both depicting a peak intensity of around 195 km/h (105 knots) at 24 hours while GFS and the statistical dynamical models showing a peak of 175 km/h (95 knots) in around 24 hours. 信息由联合台风预警中心（JTWC）提供。
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